Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.181511 1.336258 1.505402 1.704289 1.932108 2.185334 2.488708
2025-12-14 0.923882 1.122292 1.356557 1.654650 2.025425 2.473421 3.058753
2025-12-21 0.748169 0.962393 1.231551 1.596835 2.083142 2.713147 3.598993
2025-12-28 0.667233 0.901651 1.212458 1.658703 2.289543 3.159214 4.465847
2026-01-04 0.600005 0.845910 1.187448 1.702486 2.470016 3.588121 5.370866
2026-01-11 0.544572 0.796942 1.162144 1.737478 2.636435 4.012999 6.330285
2026-01-18 0.495699 0.749955 1.131648 1.757118 2.777310 4.412414 7.306212
2026-01-25 0.444380 0.692331 1.076852 1.729451 2.835663 4.683094 8.104939
2026-02-01 0.391313 0.625567 0.999394 1.653862 2.801934 4.791259 8.630451
2026-02-08 0.351778 0.576180 0.944096 1.607490 2.809911 4.968399 9.302680
2026-02-15 0.319731 0.535764 0.899087 1.572736 2.832310 5.171118 10.050243
2026-02-22 0.305986 0.524989 0.903176 1.625110 3.019731 5.703267 11.533112
2026-03-01 0.286549 0.503381 0.887865 1.643657 3.152664 6.163497 12.981567
2026-03-08 0.262915 0.471990 0.851876 1.619171 3.198900 6.459533 14.137537
2026-03-15 0.239045 0.437825 0.807255 1.572509 3.193877 6.648711 15.090056
2026-03-22 0.231240 0.433104 0.817867 1.637806 3.432190 7.396311 17.499221
2026-03-29 0.221689 0.423988 0.818817 1.682980 3.632959 8.091393 19.922462
2026-04-05 0.211886 0.413350 0.815503 1.718421 3.816576 8.775337 22.460067
2026-04-12 0.201374 0.400230 0.805680 1.738215 3.966498 9.401943 24.977725
2026-04-19 0.187527 0.378916 0.776565 1.711037 4.000446 9.746120 26.781656
2026-04-26 0.170922 0.350330 0.729217 1.636391 3.907869 9.752271 27.608094
2026-05-03 0.158189 0.328970 0.695672 1.590579 3.881900 9.930227 28.990710
2026-05-10 0.147457 0.311063 0.668160 1.556235 3.881014 10.176316 30.640922